Opinion
Economics, not politics, impacts the bond markets the most
Jan 3
Opinion
Leaders of federal administrations always take credit for roaring economies, but the reality is more complex
Dec 27
Opinion
As per tradition, markets are quiet around this time of year, plus a holiday reading recommendation
Dec 20
This December is packed with news, but markets remain unperturbed. That begs the question — what really matters?
Dec 13
The latest jobs report is good; most other factors are stable. The economic wild card is the uncertain prospects of the outcome of the trade talks with China.
Dec 6
The greatest threat to the global economy is trade friction with China
Nov 22
The information technology revolution continues to break old assumptions behind economic modeling
Nov 15
The trade war damage in the US outside of manufacturing and farms has been undetectable
Nov 8
The economy keeps humming along
Nov 1
There might be some volatility ahead
Oct 25
Opinion
The Brexit deal, the negotiations with China and a new president of the European Central Bank are all good news
Oct 18
The forecast for interest rates is still low, reinforced by new information from the Federal Reserve
Oct 11
The numbers don't reflect a looming recession, just a natural slowdown
Oct 7
The outlook: A mixed bag
Sep 27
Opinion
US economy and housing are resilient
Sep 20
Opinion
The European Central Bank's move to stimulate the European economy set President Trump into a tizzy. Here's why his tweets don't make any sense
Sep 13
Opinion
Markets preoccupied with tariffs and are trading on Brexit, and they really shouldn’t bother
Sep 6
Opinion
Trade creates specialization, efficiency, product improvement and low cost
Sep 3
Opinion
Financial markets are moving fast, and interest rates are still falling
Aug 27
Opinion
Yield curves predicting recessions did so historically and will again at the end of Fed overshoots. The Fed has done no such thing this time
Aug 19