Opinion
Economics, not politics, impacts the bond markets the most
Opinion
Leaders of federal administrations always take credit for roaring economies, but the reality is more complex
Opinion
As per tradition, markets are quiet around this time of year, plus a holiday reading recommendation
This December is packed with news, but markets remain unperturbed. That begs the question — what really matters?
The latest jobs report is good; most other factors are stable. The economic wild card is the uncertain prospects of the outcome of the trade talks with China.
The greatest threat to the global economy is trade friction with China
The information technology revolution continues to break old assumptions behind economic modeling
The trade war damage in the US outside of manufacturing and farms has been undetectable
The economy keeps humming along
There might be some volatility ahead
Opinion
The Brexit deal, the negotiations with China and a new president of the European Central Bank are all good news
The forecast for interest rates is still low, reinforced by new information from the Federal Reserve
The numbers don't reflect a looming recession, just a natural slowdown
The outlook: A mixed bag
Opinion
The European Central Bank's move to stimulate the European economy set President Trump into a tizzy. Here's why his tweets don't make any sense
Opinion
Markets preoccupied with tariffs and are trading on Brexit, and they really shouldn’t bother
Opinion
Trade creates specialization, efficiency, product improvement and low cost
Opinion
Financial markets are moving fast, and interest rates are still falling
Opinion
Yield curves predicting recessions did so historically and will again at the end of Fed overshoots. The Fed has done no such thing this time